Probably depends on how you define accurately. And whether risk is defined based on just current information or on what actually happens in the future.If this were the case, then the options and futures market would be highly inefficient. Instead, it is always possible to get a really good guess as to the risk from the market. It is not perfect but it is better than backtesting since one is getting the greatest minds assessing the current situation.
I don’t think anyone can accurately measure risk.
Statistics: Posted by rkhusky — Thu Jan 16, 2025 5:31 pm