They will forever be remote manual take over because a machine can't possibly handle 100% of driving scenarios. As it stands, the current fleet of self driving taxis have very low remote take over rates with 99%+ of miles driven being entirely autonomous. Every year or so they'll chip off a couple 0.01% of the remote take over incidents. But they are at the point where these vehicles don't need drivers. The cost of having remote drivers on standby to take over the vehicle will constantly drop over time but even today the cost of having these people on standby is a fraction of the cost of having a paid human behind the wheel 100% of the time. I don't know why people think self driving technology has to be perfect to be successful and implemented in most cities.I don't have any particular expertise in this area.Self-driving cars can't come soon enough. It has been said that self-driving taxis (which are being slowly deployed in more and more cities) operate at a cost of about 30 cents/mile. So perhaps this will translate to a cost of about 50 cents/mile for riders (so the operation is profitable); this would make car ownership comparatively very expensive when you factor in parking costs, insurance, tickets, damage, etc.
But self-driving seems like a holy grail. The "self driving" taxis out there have remote manual intervention.
It's a really, really difficult problem in computing terms. And for legitimate reasons, there will be a lot of scrutiny re safety etc.
I know one CEO keeps hyping it. But he has a history of using new product announcements to distract from delays to current projects.
You may have longer to wait than you think.
Statistics: Posted by runswithscissors — Fri Aug 09, 2024 4:26 am